Vermilion Energy Stock Performance

VET Stock  USD 10.54  0.22  2.13%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Vermilion Energy holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of 0.43, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vermilion Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vermilion Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Vermilion Energy's sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Vermilion Energy's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vermilion Energy are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Vermilion Energy unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.13
Five Day Return
5.08
Year To Date Return
23.42
Ten Year Return
(58.89)
All Time Return
(71.14)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0368
Payout Ratio
0.6208
Forward Dividend Rate
0.38
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
Vermilion Energy Given New C13.00 Price Target at BMO Capital Markets
12/11/2025
 
Vermilion Energy dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
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3
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01/07/2026
4
Positive week for Vermilion Energy Inc. institutional investors who lost 16 percent over the past year - simplywall.st
01/14/2026
5
Vermilion Energy Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
01/28/2026
6
Vermilion Energy Trading Moves With NYSE Composite Index
02/04/2026
7
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02/09/2026
8
Goodyear Delivers 105 Million Q4 Profit as Investor Boosts Stake to 15 Million
02/17/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow141.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-634.9 M

Vermilion Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  878.00  in Vermilion Energy on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  176.00  from holding Vermilion Energy or generate 20.05% return on investment over 90 days. Vermilion Energy is generating 0.3479% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.7795% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Vermilion, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vermilion Energy is expected to generate 3.7 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.7 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of risk.

Vermilion Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vermilion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.54 90 days 10.54 
about 1.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vermilion Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.63 (This Vermilion Energy probability density function shows the probability of Vermilion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vermilion Energy has a beta of 0.43. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vermilion Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vermilion Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vermilion Energy has an alpha of 0.3088, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vermilion Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vermilion Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vermilion Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vermilion Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.8210.6013.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.969.7412.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.5110.2913.07
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.759.6110.67
Details

Vermilion Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vermilion Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vermilion Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vermilion Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vermilion Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Vermilion Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vermilion Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vermilion Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vermilion Energy has 1.02 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.51, which is OK given its current industry classification. Vermilion Energy has a current ratio of 0.6, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Vermilion to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.07 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (46.74 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.28 B.
On 31st of December 2025 Vermilion Energy paid $ 0.092 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Goodyear Delivers 105 Million Q4 Profit as Investor Boosts Stake to 15 Million

Vermilion Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vermilion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vermilion Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vermilion Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding158.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments131.7 M

Vermilion Energy Fundamentals Growth

Vermilion Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vermilion Energy, and Vermilion Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vermilion Stock performance.

About Vermilion Energy Performance

Assessing Vermilion Energy's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Vermilion Energy's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Vermilion Energy is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 17.90  28.20 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.05 
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.02)(0.02)

Things to note about Vermilion Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vermilion Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vermilion Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vermilion Energy has 1.02 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.51, which is OK given its current industry classification. Vermilion Energy has a current ratio of 0.6, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Vermilion to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.07 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (46.74 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.28 B.
On 31st of December 2025 Vermilion Energy paid $ 0.092 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Goodyear Delivers 105 Million Q4 Profit as Investor Boosts Stake to 15 Million
Evaluating Vermilion Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vermilion Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vermilion Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vermilion Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vermilion Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vermilion Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vermilion Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vermilion Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vermilion Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vermilion Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vermilion Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Vermilion Stock Analysis

When running Vermilion Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vermilion Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vermilion Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vermilion Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vermilion Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vermilion Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vermilion Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.